A few weeks ago in the British Academy, the Political Methodology Group of the Political Studies Association was launched with a one-day conference showcasing quantitative work in political science in the UK. Qualitative and Quantitative There have been various initiatives from various quarters focused on improving the quality of quantitative methods ...
Read More »Members of Parliament accurately predict who becomes Prime Minister
Vote intention polls performed poorly at predicting the 2015 British General Election. What are the alternatives? Instead of asking citizens how they intend to vote, we might want to ask them who they think will win. I explore the accuracy of this approach at the LSE General Election 2015 Blog.
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The Plot Politics Decoded